Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.068000 0.080801 0.095173 0.112479 0.132727 0.155642 0.183515
2025-03-09 0.047837 0.064065 0.084382 0.111576 0.146904 0.191113 0.250489
2025-03-16 0.035994 0.052960 0.076089 0.109686 0.156968 0.220809 0.313157
2025-03-23 0.029624 0.047122 0.072706 0.112438 0.172094 0.257712 0.389101
2025-03-30 0.024180 0.041223 0.067737 0.111406 0.180781 0.285750 0.455248
2025-04-06 0.019772 0.035919 0.062499 0.108670 0.185846 0.308270 0.515113
2025-04-13 0.016200 0.031231 0.057312 0.104902 0.188261 0.326336 0.569443
2025-04-20 0.014252 0.028989 0.055800 0.106929 0.200293 0.360975 0.654361
2025-04-27 0.012484 0.026727 0.053829 0.107713 0.210038 0.392570 0.737348
2025-05-04 0.010980 0.024682 0.051898 0.108188 0.219103 0.423728 0.822692
2025-05-11 0.009826 0.023137 0.050664 0.109752 0.230274 0.459707 0.920417
2025-05-18 0.009049 0.022252 0.050605 0.113603 0.246281 0.506264 1.042661
2025-05-25 0.007712 0.019889 0.047141 0.110014 0.247106 0.524275 1.113074
2025-06-01 0.006842 0.018457 0.045483 0.110073 0.255553 0.558364 1.219298
2025-06-08 0.005979 0.016869 0.043205 0.108386 0.259967 0.584624 1.312291
2025-06-15 0.005500 0.016167 0.042886 0.111142 0.274526 0.633579 1.457728
2025-06-22 0.004874 0.014946 0.041103 0.110127 0.280295 0.664173 1.566856
2025-06-29 0.004250 0.013601 0.038781 0.107423 0.281694 0.685188 1.656994
2025-07-06 0.003668 0.012250 0.036216 0.103695 0.280088 0.699139 1.732547
2025-07-13 0.003387 0.011750 0.035860 0.105700 0.292986 0.748016 1.893463
2025-07-20 0.003091 0.011137 0.035091 0.106476 0.302831 0.790648 2.043897
2025-07-27 0.002816 0.010537 0.034257 0.106946 0.311929 0.832388 2.196314
2025-08-03 0.002603 0.010095 0.033823 0.108493 0.324112 0.883002 2.375431